Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.052845e-03 1.198774e-03 0.001346 0.001506 0.001673 0.001842 0.002026
2025-07-13 8.169921e-04 1.024066e-03 0.001241 0.001483 0.001743 0.002013 0.002312
2025-07-20 6.096542e-04 8.542649e-04 0.001121 0.001428 0.001766 0.002124 0.002527
2025-07-27 5.016647e-04 7.805912e-04 0.001096 0.001468 0.001885 0.002333 0.002844
2025-08-03 3.835768e-04 6.805396e-04 0.001031 0.001455 0.001941 0.002469 0.003077
2025-08-10 2.541551e-04 5.480680e-04 0.000916 0.001376 0.001914 0.002509 0.003201
2025-08-17 1.716084e-04 4.616949e-04 0.000847 0.001344 0.001936 0.002599 0.003377
2025-08-24 9.031956e-05 3.564788e-04 0.000743 0.001262 0.001895 0.002612 0.003463
2025-08-31 4.935397e-05 3.004645e-04 0.000697 0.001247 0.001928 0.002708 0.003640
2025-09-07 2.637778e-05 2.668859e-04 0.000678 0.001263 0.001996 0.002842 0.003858
2025-09-14 5.069493e-06 2.130513e-04 0.000624 0.001228 0.002001 0.002900 0.003988
2025-09-21 1.614349e-07 1.924807e-04 0.000616 0.001255 0.002078 0.003042 0.004213
2025-09-28 NaN 1.879201e-04 0.000647 0.001350 0.002263 0.003336 0.004642
2025-10-05 NaN 1.358605e-04 0.000592 0.001327 0.002302 0.003461 0.004882
2025-10-12 NaN 8.225038e-05 0.000518 0.001273 0.002301 0.003538 0.005066
2025-10-19 NaN 6.404890e-05 0.000509 0.001311 0.002415 0.003753 0.005411
2025-10-26 NaN 3.719161e-05 0.000469 0.001299 0.002464 0.003888 0.005662
2025-11-02 NaN 8.617830e-06 0.000392 0.001223 0.002425 0.003914 0.005784
2025-11-09 NaN 8.279030e-08 0.000347 0.001192 0.002444 0.004009 0.005985
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000279 0.001115 0.002395 0.004017 0.006082
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000249 0.001100 0.002430 0.004129 0.006300
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000237 0.001115 0.002505 0.004290 0.006576
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000202 0.001083 0.002512 0.004363 0.006746